Research/Industry Reports/Nuclear Power
Energy · Nuclear Power

Nuclear Power: Firm Baseload for a Decarbonising Grid

Policy openness to private participation and small modular reactors is reviving India's long-dormant nuclear ambitions.

Market Size

est. $5–7 Bn (India, FY26E)

Growth

~12% CAGR (FY26–35E, long-dated)

Read

7 min

Updated

Jul 2026

Overview

Nuclear offers firm, low-carbon baseload power that complements intermittent renewables. India has historically kept nuclear largely state-controlled, but policy signals now point toward opening the sector to greater private and foreign participation, alongside interest in small modular reactors (SMRs). Installed nuclear capacity remains a small share of the grid today, leaving substantial headroom.

The long-term appeal is round-the-clock, dispatchable clean power that stabilises a renewables-heavy grid. SMRs promise faster, more standardised deployment than conventional large reactors, though the technology is still commercialising globally. Fuel supply, regulatory clearances and public acceptance are the defining constraints.

This is a very long-dated theme with heavy regulatory and capital intensity. Near-term investable exposure is largely through equipment suppliers, engineering contractors and fuel-cycle participants rather than pure-play generation.

Market Size Trajectory (Bn)
7FY26E7.8FY27E8.8FY28E9.8FY29E11FY30E

Illustrative projection from the report's stated market size (est. $5–7 Bn (India, FY26E)) and growth (~12% CAGR (FY26–35E, long-dated)).

Key Highlights

  • Firm, low-carbon baseload complementing renewables
  • Policy moving toward private and foreign participation
  • Small modular reactors as a potential accelerant
  • Exposure mainly via EPC and equipment suppliers

Growth Drivers

  • Need for firm, dispatchable clean baseload
  • Policy liberalisation and SMR interest
  • Energy-security and decarbonisation imperatives
  • Grid stability requirements as renewables scale

Key Players

NPCILL&T (nuclear forgings)BHELTata Consulting EngineersWalchandnagar IndustriesNTPC (nuclear JV)Godrej & Boyce (process equipment)

Investment Outlook

Nuclear is a decade-plus theme where policy reform and SMR commercialisation will determine the pace; near-term returns are most accessible via the supply chain. We approach it as a long-horizon, optionality-driven allocation.

Key Risks

  • Regulatory, licensing and public-acceptance hurdles
  • Very long gestation and heavy capital intensity
  • Fuel-supply and technology-commercialisation uncertainty

The Neoma View

We see nuclear as a slow-burn structural opportunity best played through equipment and engineering suppliers until private generation frameworks mature.

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All figures are indicative and for information only - not investment advice or a recommendation. Market sizes, growth rates and financial metrics are hedged estimates that vary by source and period. Please consult your advisor before investing.

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